#Polymarket

On May 2025, a prediction market contract for 'Iranian airspace closed by Jul...

Four dead. That’s the number that broke my morning coffee buzz in Zurich. A...

Hook: Ledger doesn't lie. The U.S. prediction market sector spent more on...

Hook The market says 3.6%. That’s the implied probability of Iran’s regime...

26.5%. That is the probability of full Iranian airspace closure before July 3...

The prediction market contract ticked over at 28.5% on July 31. A probability...

Hook: At 03:14 UTC on July 22, 2024, a prediction market contract on Polymark...

Polymarket just priced a 30% probability that the US and Iran sign a...

The 2026 FIFA World Cup final ended with Spain lifting the trophy, and Victor...

The number stares back at you: 44.5%. That is the probability the Iran blocka...

At 10:47 AM UTC, the U.S. embassy in Manama disseminated an unusually specifi...

The prediction market spoke before the bombs fell. At 30.5%, the odds of a...

The data shows a single binary contract on Ethereum: Polymarket’s “Gulf War b...

The Defensive Record That Revealed a Market's Fragile Spine: On-Chain Forensi...

The State Department just issued a worldwide caution. Not a regional alert. A...

In the ashes of Terra, we discovered that true transparency isn't about code...

A single number surfaced from the noise: 21%. The on-chain prediction market...

You see a headline: "US strikes Iranian positions." Bitcoin pumps 3% in ten...

A wallet cluster just moved 50,000 USDC into Polymarket’s “2024 South Carolin...

Hook On April 2025, the 'Will Iran attack a Gulf state before July 22?'...

"The front-runner didn't see the mempool; he saw the headline." On Polymarket...

Hook Polymarket's daily trading volume flirted with $15 million in early Augu...

Hook: The Data Behind the Hype Over the past 72 hours, Polymarket’s daily...

The alert went out before the candle closed. Last Sunday, as the Super Bowl...

A deep dive into the on-chain settlement data of esports prediction markets...